The Stathole-50 NFL Futures Index: My Ball Knower Credibility Is On The Line With These 50 Seasonal Props
Ron Jenkins. Getty Images.You win some. You lose some. But can you come out on top overall? That's the challenge the Stathole-50 NFL Futures Index will answer for me. It's pretty simple. 50 NFL futures. All the same unit. If I can come out ahead of the book, that means I do indeed know ball. Feel free to make your own. If you're in Illinois, maybe jet on over to Indiana for a lovely day in Gary to place your bets and avoid the surcharge. And by lovely day in Gary, I mean pull over at the first rest stop you see once you get there, place the bets, then go home.
I've browsed through all the NFL futures DraftKings has to offer. Ran some stats on a handful of them. Others I just feel in my football guy loins. Before I discuss a few of these, let's just put it all out there.
Here's my card. All odds from DraftKings. Little Stathole logos mark the ones I love the most.
NOTE - I GOT TERRIBLE ODDS ON JAMES CONNER OVER 87505 YARDS. 875.5 WOULD HAVE MADE SENSE THOUGH (THE . AN 0 ARE VERY CLOSE TOGETHER)
Let's cover some of these. As you can see most are pretty close to standard bet odds with a few long shot darts. Any one of the bottom eight hit and we're ending in black.
Drake London over 1,000 receiving yards
24 receivers hit this mark in 2024. 28 hit it in 2023. Hard to imagine Drake London isn't one in 2025. We all see the talent and I have to think he's being a little overlooked here due to the mediocrity he's dealt with up until Penix got the nod. Us fantasy guys are all over London as a breakout potential league-winner so may as well add him to the ticket here.
Note to self. Might need to tune the graph making dashboard button to do something with the end label sizing…
I mean - Jakobi Meyers and Zay Flowers hit this last year. Even Jerry Jeudy on Cleveland.
Justin Fields over 2550.5 passing yards
I mean. I get it. We're not expecting much from Justin Fields. Seems like they'll be dinking and dunking this year. But 2550.5 is too low. Kirk Cousins hit that last year. Who else hit that?
Kyle Boller in 2004. Jacoby Brissett in 2022. Mike Glennon in 2013. Steve Bono is 1996. Trent Dilfer in 1997. Even Justin Fields in 2023. Now, on the flip side, he missed in the other three years he's been in the league. But there's no one taking his job in New York. I'm buying the dip.
George Kittle over 900.5 receiving yards
The 49ers are going to be a good team again this year. Maybe not great. But good. And with no alpha receiver, Kittle is going to dominate and be the league's best tight end. Can't wait to watch him put on a show.
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Justin Jefferson over 1250 yards
The only year Jefferson didn't hit this mark was when he was injured in 2023. Otherwise 1,400 was his WORST season. What are we doing here? Unless JJ McCarthy is the worst quarterback ever I don't know how this is even being offered.
Rome Odunze / Courtland Sutton / Calvin Ridley receiving overs
I think Odunze leads the Bears in receiving. Sutton was the #9 best receiver in fantasy last season from weeks 9 on (when Bo Nix found his groove) and Calvin Ridley doesn't have Will Levis. Give me these guys as sleepers against public perception.
Christian McCaffrey over 950.5 rushing yards
Another guy the public can't forgive. But I'm here to BUY BUY BUY on the CMC dip. Any way I can. Fantasy. Season props. Give them all to me!
Caleb Williams over 4,000 yards
Finally. It will happen. The Chicago Bears will have a 4k passer. Question for you Caleb haters out there. You really think he can't add another 459 yards from last season when he had to deal with Matt Dweeberflus and Shane "Where's Waldron"? (who knows, he's fired)
Even so. With the circus that was the Chicago Bears coaching staff Williams still made #5 in franchise passing. Absurd.
CHICAGO BEARS FRANCHISE PASSING LEADERS
Joe Burrow MVP
It's incredible he was in the picture last year without even making the Playoffs. And just think of all the missed kicks and wild endings that had nothing to do with Burrow. Things are naturally going to positively regress in the wins/loss column for the Bengals. It might still be tough to make the Playoffs with that atrocious defense, but who knows, maybe they shock the world with some occasional competence.
Lions
So I have two Lions bets here. One for winning the Super Bowl. The other for winning under 8.5 games. Makes sense, right?
Here's the deal. I don't know what to think of the Lions this year. But I think they'll either be kind of a train wreck without Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn or everything they gave the team will be baked in. So I'm not that surprised if they win the Super Bowl or miss the Playoffs completely, considering they're in the toughest division in the NFL.
We'll see how this goes. Will do a post-mortem after the season. Let's get this season started.
