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Duke Will Make You Puke

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Back for another Win Total Wednesday, where I predicted which teams will outperform or underperform their win totals. Some people may not love season long bets, but I enjoy forecasting how a team will do. 

Today's play is : 


Duke UNDER 5.5 Wins -165 

Things not to like: 

The Blue Devils are now on their 3rd coach in 4 years. Mike Elko was a stud in Durham, he's gone. Manny Diaz is in, who's just 21-15 in 3 years. 

The offense and defense return just 8 total starters. 

Maalik Murphy takes over at Quarterback, he was at Texas where he started just two games .

The offensive line is going to have problems. The defense was solid last year but returns just 4 starters, none of which are on the defensive line. 

The schedule is brutal. Duke is expected to be favored in just 3 games (Elon,UCONN, and @ Middle Tenn St), they are LONG dogs in 6 games (@ GA Tech, FSU, SMU, @Miami Fl, @NC State, VA Tech). Puts them at 3-6 with swing games @Northwestern, UNC, and @ Wake Forest). I don't think Duke will go 3-0 in those swing games to hit the over, the under is the play. 

Here's previous takes on VA Tech, SMU, and Texas Tech 



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  (AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/ME/MI/NC/NJ/OH/OR/PA/N/VA/VT/WV/WY), (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). 
  Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 
  Call 1-800-522-4700 (NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV). 
  21+ (18+ KY/NH/WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/KY/LA(select parishes)/MA/MD/ME/MI/NC/NJ/NY/OH/PA/TN/VANT/WV/WY only. 
  Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). Valid 1 per new customer. 
  Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $150 issued as bonus bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. 
  Bonus bets must be wagered 1x before any resulting cash winnings can be withdrawn and stake is not included in winnings. 
  Ends 04/14/24 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK. See terms at dkng.co/bball.