Katie Stats: How to Bet The National Championship

David Goldman. Shutterstock Images.

The one thing that I can’t get off of my mind is how much Alabama beat Georgia by last time; 17. If it was a one score game or less, I’d love Georgia to figure out their minor issues and be able to cover the small point difference this time around. Maybe when Georgia faced Alabama for the first time, they used their normal game plan, since it had been working so far, and will now run an Alabama specific plan. Is Stetson Bennett the guy? How much will John Metchie not playing affect Alabama’s receiving core? Can Georgia fix their issues from the last game? Will Alabama be able to run the ball at all? If you’re betting Alabama +3, why aren’t you betting Alabama ML? I don’t have a clear bet for you, which some of you will be mad about. But I don’t like giving out picks unless I am super confident in them. If I had to chose, and I will, I'll be riding with Alabama ML so I am happy either way. (Big Cat also has a boost that has similar odds, so take a look below if you're interested in best value). I do like that I can't pick easily. I am sick of the Alabama dynasty. Georgia hasn’t won since 1980. We need to crown a new #1; it is for the better of college football as a whole. If this game is a blow out with Alabama winning, you will hear me scream bloody murder.

Georgia (-2.5, 52.5) vs. Alabama, @ 8pm ET in Lucas Oil

• Matchup: Alabama has won the L7, and the L4 vs. Kirby. The over is 3-0-1 in the L4 meetings. Alabama covered the L2 by double digits. Both semifinal games this year went under.

  • Scores:

    • 2021: Alabama won 41-24 in SEC championship

    • 2020: Alabama won 41-24 at home

    • 2018: Alabama won 35-28 in SEC championship

    • 2018 (2017 season): Alabama won 26-23 OT in national championship

  • Stats:

    • Underdog is 7-1 ATS in L8 meetings

• Georgia: Alabama has just an okay pass defense, so it’ll be up to Stetson Bennett to see if he can sling it. Bennett has also been using a flip phone because he found himself on his iPhone too much; can you say #FootballGuy? Georgia hasn’t won a national championship since 1980.

  • Team rankings

    • #9 scoring offense at 39 ppg

    • #31 rush offense at 194.71 ypg

    • #47 pass offense at 253.9 ypg

    • #21 total offense at 448.8 ypg

    • #1 scoring defense at 9.6 ppg

    • #4 rush defense at 82.36 ypg

    • #5 pass defense at 176.2 ypg

    • #2 total defense at 258.6 ypg

  • Stats:

    • At a neutral site, the under is 8-2

    • 0-4 ATS after a spread win

    • After having 450+ total yard games, under is 5-0

• Alabama: Their run game will likely not stand up against Georgia’s run defense, so Alabama will be forced to rely on throwing the ball. Still don’t have Metchie, so with an emphasis on passing, this could become a bump in the road. But then again, it is Alabama, they are a bit stacked. 

  • Team Rankings

    • #3 scoring offense at 41.4 ppg

    • #72 rush offense at 158.57 ypg

    • #8 pass offense at 336 ypg

    • #5 total offense at 494.6 ypg

    • #13 scoring defense at 19.2 ppg

    • #2 rush defense at 82.14 ypg

    • #49 pass defense at 217.6 ypg

    • #6 total defense at 299.8 ypg

  • Stats:

    • Saban, as an underdog, is 5-1 ATS. The one he didn’t cover, was by 1 point.

    • On Mondays, the over is 6-1. 

    • At neutral site, 4-0 ATS

    • After having 450+ yards, over is 6-1-1

Here are some other great bets and boosts we have on the Barstool Sportsbook, that could help you make a decision:

Advertisement

If you do bet, please do so responsibly.