Tommy Stats NFL Week 7: Cardinals Unders, Teddy Bridgewater Off A Loss, And More
Welcome back to the lab. Every Sunday morning during this NFL season, I'll be blogging the stats and trends that I presented on Barstool Sports Advisors, plus some additional ones that I didn't get to use. These stats are a mixture of ones I've found across various websites, and also some just through my own research from pouring through the data.
Below is my entire cheat sheet I use for Advisors each week. Lines courtesy of the Barstool Sportsbook, subject to change from the time I compiled this.
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-0, 4-1 ATS) @ Tennessee Titans (5-0, 2-3 ATS)
1 PM on CBS
PIT -2
T 51.5
Not every day you can get an undefeated team as a home underdog, good spot for Tennessee
-Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as home dogs
Also the over has been a money maker for the Titans at home lately
-In Ryan Tannehill’s 9 Titan home starts, the over is 8-1 and there’s been an average of 59 PPG
Carolina Panthers (3-3, 3-3 ATS) @ New Orleans Saints (3-2, 2-3 ATS)
1 PM on FOX
NO -7.5
T 51
-In his career coming off a loss, Teddy Bridgewater is 12-2 ATS
-Panthers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 trips to New Orleans
The Saints are coming off a bye, which has been a good spot for them
-Since 2009, the Saints are 9-2 ATS after a bye
The Saints didn't cover against the Chargers so that hurt their great October stats, but still
-Saints are 21-3 ATS in their last 24 October games
Seattle Seahawks (5-0, 4-1 ATS) @ Arizona Cardinals (4-2, 4-2 ATS)
4:05 PM on FOX
SEA -4
T 54.5
The total has been high for every Cardinals game this season, but the overs aren't hitting
-The Cardinals have hit the under every game this season (average of 46 PPG), have hit 50 points only once
-The under has hit in 6 of Russell Wilson’s 8 career trips to Arizona, average game total of 37 points
-Russell Wilson is 5-3 ATS off a bye
-Under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks are 6-3-1 ATS after a bye
-Road team is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings
San Francisco 49ers (3-3, 3-3 ATS) @ New England Patriots (2-3, 2-3 ATS)
4:25 PM on CBS
NE -2.5
T 45.5
Obviously this stat applies to the Brady era, but still worth noting
-Patriots have lost home games in back to back weeks only once under Belichick - 2006
-In their 11 combined games this season, the total has reached 46 points just 3 times this season (Pats twice, 49ers once)
Being on the road and being a dog have both been favorite spots for San Francisco
-The 49ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 as an underdog, 6-1 since start of last season
-The 49ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games
-The 49ers are 12-6 ATS as a road dog under Kyle Shanahan
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2, 3-3 ATS) @ Las Vegas Raiders (3-2, 3-2 ATS)
8:20 PM on NBC
TB -2.5
T 53.5
-Also surprisingly, Tom Brady is 2-5 just ATS in his last 7 road Sunday night games
Also worth noting that byes have done very little for the Raiders recently
-Coming off a bye in their last 3 seasons, the Raiders are 0-3 with an average loss of 19 PPG
-Stat used on the show is no longer applicable with the game getting moved but it was that Derek Carr has been an under the radar primetime star. He’s won 4 straight primetime games, all as an underdog. In his career he’s 9-5-2 ATS in primetime games, 10-6 straight up
If you missed this week's Advisors, make sure to catch up here to get all your winners before kickoff.
It'll also air again at 11, followed by the Pro Football Football show.
