Advertisement

It's A New Week, And A New Chance To Make Some Money With Today's Gambling Picks

RECORD

36-61-2 (-8 units)

This weekend was not good for me. Yesterday on its own, wasn't awful. After two great starts, I thought Sandy Alcantara was back. I put my faith in him to beat the Rangers, but he did not. The Padres got entirely smothered by the Dodgers, and Ha-Seong Kim failed to go deep. Per usual, that was a long shot with a home run prop. The Orioles saved the day, but just barely. They did cover the run line, beating the Mets 2-0 yesterday, thanks to some great pitching out of the bullpen by the O's. So while we had a pretty good last seven days, the weekend was forgettable. I've had the same system for a while now. I pick two games and usually go with a home run prop. From a value standpoint, I don't mind that system, but when you go almost a whole week without hitting on one of those home run props, you better be pretty damn good with betting on the other games, and the last several days, I've been pretty darn inconsistent. It's a new week and a new opportunity to make money. Let's do the damn thing and look at today's picks.

Dodgers ML (+120) against the Padres

This one stood out immediately, and not just because it's the first game on the slate. The Padres and Dodgers always play fascinating games, but as far as the regular season is concerned, it usually ends up being the Dodgers to come out on top. My logic is pretty simple here. I know this year's Dodgers may not be the dominant force they've been in years past, but anytime you have the Dodgers as underdogs on the road against the sub-500 team, you have to take them on the money line. I'm trying to make sense of this. Why are the Padres favored here? If Blake Snell were on the mound, I'd understand it, but I don't feel there's a huge difference between Tony Gonsolin and Seth Lugo. The Dodgers' offense has been seeing the ball so well lately. I would not want to be Seth Lugo today.

Marlins -1.5 (+110) against the Reds

These two teams have been trending in the wrong direction since the All-Star break. Dammit, I think Chris Klemmer was right about the Cincinnati Reds starting pitching. Once you get past Andrew Abbott, they have no starters that you can trust. The Marlins, for all their recent struggles, bolster a pretty impressive starting pitching staff. They have rookies sensation Eury Perez back on the mound this evening. I think it's pretty customary in gambling to go with a hot hand, but I also think it's a smart idea to bet against sliding teams. Until proven otherwise, I'm inclined to believe that the Reds will get outslugged. They're pitching just can't keep up. 

Trea Turner to homer (+400) against the Nationals

Man, this Phillies team tees off on Trevor Williams. There are multiple guys in Philadelphia's lineup that I could've put money on to homer, but Turner provided the best value. From a storyline standpoint, this makes the most sense. Turner received that standing ovation in Philadelphia the other day as the fans showed their support for him during what's been the worst season of his career. He's been hot over the last several games. And he's going up against his former team, which almost always seems to bring out the best in people. Also, his numbers against Trevor Williams are really good. He's got five hits in 20 played appearances, but three of them are home runs. If Trea Turner can get hot down the stretch here, the Phillies become an infinitely more dangerous team. I don't need him to bat .400 down the stretch, but I would like it if he went deep tonight. 

All odds come from the Barstool Sportsbook. Follow Barstool Baseball on all platforms, including our YouTube page.